Relation between poverty & fertility
Poverty is the term which indicates deficiency in terms of
income,consumption expenditure,low capital formation for
investment.Thus,creating low income & unemployment or seasonal/disguised
unemployment starting a cyclic mechanism called The vicious cycle of Poverty.
Fertility refers to a general context to all aspects of human
reproduction leading to live births, but in narrow sense to the achieved number
of live births, in contrast to fecundity, the potential number.
Economist Malthus pointed out increase in poor people’s average
real income couldn’t durably reduce poverty unless their family size norms fell
(through delayed marriage & abstinence from sex after marriage).He was
convinced that high poverty increased poverty.
Economists distinguish a growth channel whereby demographic
variables change the level or growth of attainable welfare per person (indicated
by mean G.D.P./private consumption)affecting poverty even if distribution is
constant.
Simon,however,found no effect of population change
on economic growth.
Kelly & Schmidt after analyzing cross-sections of developing
& developed nations found that high birth rates reduce current growth of
real G.D.P. per person. However, link from low fertility to mean G.D.P. growth
is stronger for developing nations.
An article in Journal of Development studies (1999) by Eastwood,
Robert & M. Lipton confirmed that high fertility damage growth & aid
poverty.They have come to this conclusion after dividing the growth channel
into:-
a)Acquisition Effect &
b)Dependency Effect.
In India fertility has declined but population growth would
continue due to population momentum. Falling Fertility + Mortality levels will
cause demographic bulge of economically productive youth.(eg. Rajasthan from
1996 to 2016 as population projections by Registrar General of India)
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